x
 
 
 
 
Marv's Weather Service
Marv's Tropical Weather Report
 
 
 
TC
click on above for larger size 
TC
click on above for larger size
TC
click on above for larger size
TC
click on above for larger size
for additional charts check out Mike's Weather .. https://spaghettimodels.com/
credits - in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from
Crown Weather Services, Mike's Weather Page, Buoyweather and NOAA

subscribe to receive our reports

.
2021-10-19 - Tropical Weather Update - things have been quiet across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico and are looking like they are going to remain quite .. with that this is our very short report at this time ..
.
Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico - no tropical development expected for at least the rest of this week and into this weekend ..
.
heads up - check our buoy reports in your area for wind speed and wave heights .. if you are not getting our buoy weather reports sign up NOW .. click here to sign up ..
.
note - the next tropical weather discussion will be issued about midday on Friday ..
.
the end - of our recap for now .. you can stop reading now unless you are interested in the rest of the story ..
additional details .. see below ..
.
.
Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico - things remain quiet across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico with no tropical development expected for the rest of this week and very probably this weekend ..
.
at this time - we are at a loss as to why tropical development has not occurred, even though everything in the pattern, including a La Nina and an upward motion pulse of the MJO, should be favorable for a spurt of tropical development this month .. ie usually, during a La Nina year with a favorable MJO pulse would produce late season tropical systems and yet nothing is on the horizon .. obviously a great thing, but still unreal ..
.
looking ahead - this lack of tropical activity is not only just happening in the Atlantic, but its also occurring in the eastern, central and western Pacific .. for the Atlantic it seems the reason for a lack of activity is a persistent trough of low pressure over the eastern US which seems to be imparting unfavorable conditions over the Caribbean .. fortunately it just seems like things arent clicking in place for development and our forecast for a busy October has obviously gone down in flames and this is something that we are going to try to figure out what we missed and how we can do better next time ..
.
Atlantic Hurricane Season - are we done with the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season ? .. to be perfectly honest we dont know .. we should still probably see at least one or two more named storms given we are in a La Niña .. but a look at the conditions across the Atlantic Basin says it all .. nothing is going to form anytime soon ..
.
bottom line - things will be quiet and fortunately we do not see any evidence that well see tropical development for at least the next 7 to 10 days plus and possibly longer than this ..
.
. .

heads up - check our buoy reports in your area for wind speed and wave heights .. if you are not getting our buoy weather reports sign up now .. click here .. subscribe to receive our reports ..

.
TC
.
TC
.
.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season .. our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather .. we also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover .. 
.
credits - in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from
Crown Weather Services, Mike's Weather Page, Buoyweather and NOAA
contact us
areas of coverage
Marv's tropical weather reports
Marv's Weather Service - home page
disclaimer - all forecasts herein are made to the best ability of the forecaster .. however, due to standard forecasting error, these forecasts cannot be guaranteed .. any action or inaction taken by users of this forecast is the sole responsibility of that user ..

 

twr