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Marv's Weather
Service
Marv's Tropical
Weather Report
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credits - in part
our Tropical Weather
Update today has
been put together with
data from
Crown Weather Services,
Mike's Weather Page
and
NOAA
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Tropical Weather Update
2019-10-28 as of 09:00 am
.
areas of interest ..
.
southern Gulf of Mexico
- tropical disturbance
is being watched ..
.
.
southern Gulf of Mexico
- an area of disturbed weather
over the southern Gulf of Mexico
is producing some shower and
thunderstorm activity .. weather
analysis reveals that there is
at least a mid and upper-level
low pressure system that is
connected to a tropical wave ..
additional analysis also
indicates that wind shear values
over this area of disturbed
weather are quite low with
values of 5 to 15 knots
occurring ..
.
at this time
- even though the environmental
conditions are favorable for
development of this tropical
disturbance, none of the model
guidance and this includes the
higher resolution guidance shows
any sort of tropical development
from this system .. the reason
for the lack of development may
have to do with a combination of
the quick forward speed this
disturbance will be moving at
and increasing wind shear values
in the northern Gulf of Mexico
.. even without any sort of
tropical development, the energy
and moisture from this tropical
disturbance will come ashore
along the Louisiana coast on
Wednesday .. this means that
more heavy rainfall is expected
starting on Tuesday and
continuing through Wednesday
across southeastern Louisiana,
southern Mississippi, southern
Alabama and parts of the Florida
Panhandle. Unlike with Olga,
this disturbance will not bring
strong winds with it ..
.
looking ahead
- a cold front is expected to
sweep across the entire Gulf
Coast from west to east late
Wednesday night through Thursday
bringing with it scattered
showers and thunderstorms, along
with wind gusts of up to 35 to
45 mph on the backside of the
front .. none of the model
guidance are forecasting
tropical development .. we will
definitely going to be keeping a
close eye on this tropical
disturbance, in case it tries to
strengthen into a tropical
system between today and
Wednesday ..
.
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Our Tropical Weather
reports - for the most
part are put together only
during tropical weather
season .. our reports are
based on a number of online
sources and are based on our
past experience dealing with
tropical weather .. we also
occasionally include
non-tropical weather that
would affect the area /
footprint that we cover ..
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contact us
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areas of coverage
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Marv's tropical weather
reports
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Marv's Weather Service - home page
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disclaimer - all
forecasts herein are made to the best
ability of the forecaster .. however, due to
standard forecasting error, these forecasts
cannot be guaranteed .. any action or
inaction taken by users of this forecast is
the sole responsibility of that user .. |
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