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Marv's Weather Service
Marv's Tropical Weather Report
 
 
 
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credits - in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from
Crown Weather Services, Mike's Weather Page, Buoyweather and NOAA

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2021-11-16 - Tropical Weather Update - looking ahead there are no significant storm systems expected across the United States as well as across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico .. just COLD weather ..
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Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico - all is still quiet across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico with no additional tropical development expected ahead ..
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bottom bottom line - good news .. bad news .. no more significant tropical weather but we are going to have a COLD winter ..
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note - the next tropical weather discussion will be issued as condition warrant ..
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the end - of our recap for now .. you can stop reading now unless you are interested in the rest of the story ..
additional details .. see below ..
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Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico - all is quiet across the United States with no significant storms expected .. in addition, no tropical development is expected ahead across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico ..
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looking ahead - the overall weather pattern may remain quiet with no notable storms to be concerned about at this point .. some of the guidance had previously been forecasting a significant storm system across the central and eastern United States near Thanksgiving but these guidance members have since seemed to have backed off on this forecast .. the only model that seems to be still showing a significant storm system is the European model which brings heavy rain and strong winds from the Ohio Valley to much of the East Coast of the United States early next week (November 22) .. we are not sure that we put much trust in the European model because it hasnt been the best with its forecasts over the last year or so .. with that said, its something to watch, nevertheless ..
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December - there are subtle signals in the data that suggest the month of December, as a whole, could be a cold month across the eastern one-half of the United States .. the tell tale signal that we will be transitioned into a cold December is any significant storms during the final 10 days of this month .. if we do see such a storm, it could alter the weather pattern so that theres a big upper level high pressure ridge over the western United States and a large upper level trough of low pressure over the eastern United States throughout December ..
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bottom line - temperatures - this sort of weather pattern would lead to well above average temperatures across the western United States and below average temperatures throughout the northern Plains states the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and much of the East Coast of the United States .. a below average sort of month for temperatures could extend into the southeastern United States, including the Florida Peninsula ..
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UFFDA .. we have concerns that we will see similar cold that affects upwards of three-quarters of the United States .. whether we see any significant storms that brings widespread snow and ice remains to be seen, but given the cold look of the weather pattern .. we have concerns that snow and ice could be a concern at some point in December as far south as the Deep South ..
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bottom bottom line - good news .. bad news .. no more significant tropical weather but we are going to have a COLD winter ..
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Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season .. our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather .. we also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover .. 
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credits - in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from
Crown Weather Services, Mike's Weather Page, Buoyweather and NOAA
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disclaimer - all forecasts herein are made to the best ability of the forecaster .. however, due to standard forecasting error, these forecasts cannot be guaranteed .. any action or inaction taken by users of this forecast is the sole responsibility of that user ..

 

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